英倫金融[外匯投資]： 歐元兌美元日內走勢預測

日內圖
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BIAS： 價格運行到1.1187-00區間下方，將回復下行走勢
阻力位
1.1187-00
1.1223
1.1238
1.1260
支撐位
1.1130-46
1.1095-00
1.1076
1.1057
主要分析：價格展開下行走勢，靠近1.1173-77區間下方，或進一步觸及1.1159。價格或會在1.1187-00區間受阻，下行至1.1146，價格運行勢能稍微強大一點的話，或者進一步下行到1.1130。即便價格下行到此點位，在進一步下跌到大概1.1076附近或觸及1.1057之前，價格運行也只會出現較簡單的回撤—大概30個點左右。屆時注意觀察看漲反轉信號的出現，價格會往更高點位元修正—修正幅度可能會比較大。
反向分析：不過，即使價格是處於這種階段，但只要上行突破1.1200-10（下行通道上沿線），價格就有可能重回1.1252-60區間，並將意味著之前的結構判斷失誤。同時也要關注1.1306和1.1336-42的阻力情況。
中期分析：
3月18日：不能說看跌預期失效。沒有更強的看跌反轉信號出現之前，是比較難明確價格的發展情況。價格至少將會下破1.1057下方或者可能下行到更低點位…
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文：
DAILY FORECAST FOR EURUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: While 1.1187-00 caps we should see losses resume
Resistance: 1.1187-00 1.1223 1.1238 1.1260
Support: 1.1130-46 1.1095-00 1.1076 1.1057
MAIN ANALYSIS: Losses were seen but edged below 1.1173-77 to reach 111.59. This should see the 1.1187-00 area cap for losses towards 1.1146 and a slightly stronger possibility of 1.1130. Even here the pullback should be relatively shallow - around 30 points - before losses to around 1.1076. Allow for 1.1057. Watch for bullish reversal indications for a correction higher - and could be quite deep.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Still, even at this stage, only a break above 1.1200-10 (the declining channel high) would take price back to 1.1252-60 and will mean that I may have misjudged the structure. Also note the 1.1306 resistance as well as 1.1336-42.
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:
18th March: I can't say the bearish outlook has been broken. Without strong bearish reversal indications it is difficult to state a definite outcome. This will take a break below 1.1057 at a minimum and preferably lower...
Good trading
Ian Copsey